Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.850665 3.290196 3.776103 4.353340 5.020740 5.768586 6.670829
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.303718 2.888329 3.590371 4.496481 5.636674 7.026156 8.851731
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.953694 2.632775 3.509337 4.725964 6.375083 8.538923 11.604521
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.642071 2.360010 3.348474 4.812731 6.934610 9.910314 14.423255
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.382301 2.105428 3.160716 4.818886 7.371861 11.175338 17.313281
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.136906 1.825051 2.883639 4.638447 7.493292 11.987488 19.663654
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.940494 1.583898 2.622482 4.430613 7.524737 12.648624 21.870115
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.834107 1.469193 2.541636 4.496623 8.004902 14.098392 25.619796
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.718381 1.318801 2.375785 4.386342 8.156706 15.001545 28.551287
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.674230 1.287840 2.412045 4.639758 8.998213 17.255396 34.341996
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.622848 1.234783 2.398718 4.795589 9.675862 19.300839 40.069645
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.562750 1.155262 2.322595 4.815001 10.084064 20.877196 45.106504
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.481383 1.023397 2.129579 4.578810 9.955983 21.399029 48.133415
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.451706 0.994572 2.142389 4.778306 10.789560 24.083318 56.418220
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.430927 0.981701 2.186998 5.055122 11.842961 27.428269 66.860772
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.399353 0.939710 2.161534 5.169157 12.543284 30.092520 76.199631
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.364890 0.885585 2.100349 5.189155 13.023332 32.319671 84.887544
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.321887 0.804325 1.963523 5.002719 12.962029 33.215168 90.317943
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.282720 0.726389 1.822884 4.783154 12.777247 33.763440 94.916760
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.263666 0.696611 1.797288 4.857663 13.381148 36.471344 106.031757
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.237378 0.643912 1.705422 4.740290 13.443445 37.733188 113.255385
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.231234 0.644437 1.753356 5.015862 14.657426 42.404310 131.531933
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.220807 0.631538 1.763192 5.185420 15.595609 46.451821 148.727662